Which outcome is favored for 3rd richest person on December 31??

The market currently favors Larry Page at 42% implied probability (YES trading at 42¢).

How much has been traded on 3rd richest person on December 31??

$24K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 3, 2027.

Event odds table

3rd richest person on December 31? — live odds

5 outcomes$24K traded$2K · 24hresolves by January 3, 2027

Live 3rd richest person on December 31? odds: Larry Page leads the field at 42% implied probability, ahead of Steve Ballmer (36%) and Warren Buffett (8%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $24K traded ($2K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 3, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Larry Page 42%

implied probability (42¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1Larry Page

42%42¢ · $305 24h 2Steve Ballmer

36%36¢ · $306 24h 3Warren Buffett

8%8¢ · $305 24h 4Jensen Huang

—— · $320 24h 5Mark Zuckerberg

—— · $368 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for 3rd richest person on December 31??: The market currently favors Larry Page at 42% implied probability (YES trading at 42¢).
How much has been traded on 3rd richest person on December 31??: $24K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 3, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

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