Markets

Live prediction market odds

200 markets$6.7M · 24h on this page

The highest-volume Polymarket markets, priced as live probabilities. Every page carries the signal activity the PolyWatch radar caught — whale trades, odds swings, volume spikes.

📅 Following a race, not a single question?Event odds tables rank every outcome of a nomination, tournament or election on one page — updated live.Browse events →⏱️ Watching a market that repeats?Trackers keep one page per recurring question — the live odds plus how every past edition resolved.Browse trackers →

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

15%

YES 15¢ · NO 85¢$72.6M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$66.4M
Cultureresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$54.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$54.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$52.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$50.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$48.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.6M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.2M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.2M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$43.7M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.5M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$41.1M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$40.8M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$40.3M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$39.0M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Recently resolved

How the market called it — final odds against the actual outcome.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $37K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $71K tradedYESfinal 100¢Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $35K tradedYESfinal 100¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $237K tradedYESfinal 97¢Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $88K tradedYESfinal 99¢Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $84K tradedNOfinal 1¢Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?Oct 7, 2026 · $702K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $117K tradedYESfinal 100¢Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $30K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $92K tradedNOfinal 0¢Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $98K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 7?Oct 7, 2026 · $26K tradedYESfinal 100¢