Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? — live odds

"Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $66.5M has changed hands so far, $19K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-99¢ over the window

-99¢

24h change

$19K

24h volume

$66.5M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
70¢ → 100¢ (+29.9¢ in 15 min)
15m ago
High volatility
±8.6¢ swing band
30m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 70¢ (-29.9¢ in 15 min)
30m ago
High volatility
±42.4¢ swing band
45m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 0¢ (-99.6¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±45.2¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 0¢ (-99.8¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±28.3¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±50.9¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 1¢ (-98.7¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.