Tech Prediction Markets
Tech Prediction Markets
Live tech prediction market odds — AI model releases, product launches, and company milestones.
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
3%
AI bubble burst in 2026?
6%
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
11%
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
12%
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
10%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
81%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
28%
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
6%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
15%
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
5%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
74%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
4%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
4%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
8%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
4%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
99%
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
69%
Today in Tech Prediction Markets
Tech Prediction Markets — common questions
- What is the most active tech prediction markets market right now?
- "Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?" leads today's trading with $88K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 0¢ (0% implied probability).
- How much is traded on tech prediction markets?
- The 200 markets tracked here traded $697K in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?", has $8.0M in lifetime volume.
- How do these odds work?
- Each price is a probability: a market trading at 0¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 0% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.