Science Prediction Markets

Science Prediction Markets

200 markets$500K · 24h on this page

Live science prediction market odds — launches, discoveries, and research milestones as probabilities.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 99¢$18.6M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

7%

YES 7¢ · NO 93¢$6.5M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Human moon landing in 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$2.0M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

51%

YES 51¢ · NO 49¢$1.4M
Scienceresolves Jan 2, 2027

New pandemic in 2026?

5%

YES 5¢ · NO 96¢$1.2M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$1.1M
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

47%

YES 47¢ · NO 54¢$936K
Scienceresolves Jan 2, 2027

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$902K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$826K
Scienceresolves Feb 1, 2027

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$784K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

71%

YES 71¢ · NO 29¢$711K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$667K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$659K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$635K
Scienceresolves Jan 2, 2027

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$628K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$604K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$595K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$580K
Scienceresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$554K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$533K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

24%

YES 24¢ · NO 76¢$501K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

29%

YES 28¢ · NO 72¢$469K
Scienceresolves Mar 2, 2027

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

16%

YES 16¢ · NO 85¢$421K
Scienceresolves Jan 8, 2027

Plague pandemic in 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$404K
Scienceresolves Jan 1, 2027

Today in Science Prediction Markets

Most active todayWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 14?— · $35K · 24hResolving nextWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 14?— · resolves October 14, 2026Biggest marketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?2¢ · $18.6M all-time

Science Prediction Markets — common questions

What is the most active science prediction markets market right now?
"Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 14?" leads today's trading with $35K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at — (0% implied probability).
How much is traded on science prediction markets?
The 200 markets tracked here traded $500K in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?", has $18.6M in lifetime volume.
How do these odds work?
Each price is a probability: a market trading at — means the crowd prices roughly a 0% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.