Election & Politics Odds

Election & Politics Odds

200 markets$5.4M · 24h on this page

Live election betting odds and political prediction markets — what the market prices for elections, nominations, and policy calls.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

YES 16¢ · NO 84¢$72.8M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$54.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$54.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 98¢$52.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$50.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$48.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.6M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.2M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.2M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$43.7M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.5M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$41.1M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$40.8M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$40.3M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$39.0M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.2M
Politicsresolves Nov 8, 2028

Today in Election & Politics Odds

Most active todayWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0¢ · $929K · 24hResolving nextWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?36¢ · resolves October 28, 2026Biggest marketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16¢ · $72.8M all-time

Election & Politics Odds — common questions

What is the most active election & politics odds market right now?
"Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" leads today's trading with $929K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 0¢ (0% implied probability).
How much is traded on election & politics odds?
The 200 markets tracked here traded $5.4M in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?", has $72.8M in lifetime volume.
How do these odds work?
Each price is a probability: a market trading at 0¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 0% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.