Which outcome is favored for How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??

The market currently favors 2 Fed rate hikes at 66% implied probability (YES trading at 66¢).

How much has been traded on How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??

$826K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $12K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Event odds table

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? — live odds

5 outcomes$826K traded$12K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

Live How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? odds: 2 Fed rate hikes leads the field at 66% implied probability, ahead of 1 Fed rate hike (19%) and 3 Fed rate hikes (12%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $826K traded ($12K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

2 Fed rate hikes 66%

implied probability (66¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

12 Fed rate hikes

66%66¢ · $5K 24h 21 Fed rate hike

19%19¢ · $6K 24h 33 Fed rate hikes

12%12¢ · $299 24h 44 Fed rate hikes

1%1¢ · $119 24h 55 or more Fed rate hikes

1%1¢ · $119 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??: The market currently favors 2 Fed rate hikes at 66% implied probability (YES trading at 66¢).
How much has been traded on How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??: $826K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $12K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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