Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? — live odds

"Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 4% implied probability, with YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢. $1.8M has changed hands so far, $14 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 4¢NO 96¢

recent price

-64¢ over the window

-64¢

24h change

$14

24h volume

$1.8M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±71.9¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 68¢ (-25.9¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
High volatility
±31.8¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 59¢ (-9.1¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
High volatility
±75.4¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 94¢ (+25.9¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±60¢ swing band
11h ago
High volatility
±57.9¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 0¢ (-67.9¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±56.1¢ swing band
12h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.