No one announced as next James Bond? — live odds

Part of Next James Bond actor?· see all 24 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"No one announced as next James Bond?" is trading at a 27% implied probability, with YES at 27¢ and NO at 73¢. $560K has changed hands so far, $5K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

27%

implied probability

YES 27¢NO 73¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$5K

24h volume

$560K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±21.3¢ swing band
20m ago
Odds swing
27¢ → 50¢ (+22.4¢ in 15 min)
20m ago
High volatility
±4.9¢ swing band
51m ago
High volatility
±7.3¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 50¢ (+8.2¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Odds swing
47¢ → 24¢ (-22.6¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±19.9¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
28¢ → 97¢ (+69¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±26.5¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±19¢ swing band
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.