Event odds table

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$1.6M traded$10K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2028

Live Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? odds: Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? leads the field at 22% implied probability, ahead of Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? (19%) and Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? (10%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($10K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? 22%

implied probability (22¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...??
The market currently favors Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? at 22% implied probability (YES trading at 22¢).
How much has been traded on Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...??
$1.6M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $10K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

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