Which outcome is favored for Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?

The market currently favors 's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day at 27% implied probability (YES trading at 27¢).

How much has been traded on Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?

$1.6M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $55K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

Event odds table

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap — live odds

10 outcomes$1.6M traded$55K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2028

Live Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap odds: 's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day leads the field at 27% implied probability, ahead of 's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day (26%) and 's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day (17%). All 10 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($55K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day 27%

implied probability (27¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 10

Full market details →

1's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day

27%27¢ · $12K 24h 2's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day

26%26¢ · $14K 24h 3's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day

17%17¢ · $6K 24h 4's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day

10%10¢ · $7K 24h 5's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day

8%8¢ · $2K 24h 6's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day

5%5¢ · $2K 24h 7's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day

5%5¢ · $2K 24h 8's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day

4%4¢ · $5K 24h 9's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day

2%2¢ · $2K 24h 10not IPO by December 31, 2027

2%2¢ · $2K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?: The market currently favors 's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day at 27% implied probability (YES trading at 27¢).
How much has been traded on Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?: $1.6M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $55K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

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