Event odds table

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — live odds
5 outcomes$18.5M traded$567K · 24hresolves by November 4, 2026
Live Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms odds: D Senate, D House leads the field at 66% implied probability, ahead of R Senate, D House (27%) and R Senate, R House (9%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $18.5M traded ($567K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
D Senate, D House 66%
implied probability (66¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1D Senate, D House
66%66¢ · $56K 24h2R Senate, D House
27%27¢ · $28K 24h3R Senate, R House
9%9¢ · $359K 24h4D Senate, R House
1%1¢ · $122K 24h5Other
0%0¢ · $2K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms?
- The market currently favors D Senate, D House at 66% implied probability (YES trading at 66¢).
- How much has been traded on Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms?
- $18.5M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $567K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.