Event odds table

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — live odds

5 outcomes$18.5M traded$567K · 24hresolves by November 4, 2026

Live Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms odds: D Senate, D House leads the field at 66% implied probability, ahead of R Senate, D House (27%) and R Senate, R House (9%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $18.5M traded ($567K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

D Senate, D House 66%

implied probability (66¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms?
The market currently favors D Senate, D House at 66% implied probability (YES trading at 66¢).
How much has been traded on Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms?
$18.5M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $567K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.

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