Which outcome is favored for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

The market currently favors Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 18% implied probability (YES trading at 18¢).

How much has been traded on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

$1.3B has been traded across 53 outcome markets, $617K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 8, 2028.

Event odds table

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — live odds

53 outcomes$1.3B traded$617K · 24hresolves by November 8, 2028

Live Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 odds: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads the field at 18% implied probability, ahead of Gavin Newsom (15%) and Jon Ossoff (15%). All 53 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.3B traded ($617K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 8, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%

implied probability (18¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 53

Full market details →

1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%18¢ · $4K 24h 2Gavin Newsom

15%15¢ · $6K 24h 3Jon Ossoff

15%15¢ · $4K 24h 4Kamala Harris

7%7¢ · $133K 24h 5Josh Shapiro

6%6¢ · $6K 24h 6Pete Buttigieg

5%5¢ · $3K 24h 7James Talarico

3%3¢ · $10K 24h 8Andy Beshear

3%3¢ · $3K 24h 9Mark Kelly

2%2¢ · $3K 24h 10Wes Moore

2%2¢ · $253 24h 11Bernie Sanders

2%2¢ · $6K 24h 12Rahm Emanuel

2%2¢ · $2K 24h 13J.B. Pritzker

1%1¢ · $558 24h 14Ro Khanna

1%1¢ · $949 24h 15Raphael Warnock

1%1¢ · $100K 24h 16Jon Stewart

1%1¢ · $68 24h 17Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

1%1¢ · $334 24h 18Chelsea Clinton

1%1¢ · $101 24h 19Cory Booker

1%1¢ · $379 24h 20Gretchen Whitmer

1%1¢ · $208 24h 21Hunter Biden

0%0¢ · $706 24h 22Chris Murphy

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 23Roy Cooper

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 24Michelle Obama

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 25Mark Cuban

0%0¢ · $143 24h 26Hillary Clinton

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 27Phil Murphy

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 28Zohran Mamdani

0%0¢ · $4K 24h 29Jasmine Crockett

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 30Gina Raimondo

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 31Barack Obama

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 32Jared Polis

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 33Stephen A. Smith

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 34Ruben Gallego

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 35Abigail Spanberger

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 36Josh Stein

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 37Hakeem Jeffries

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 38Elissa Slotkin

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 39Chris Van Hollen

0%0¢ · $250K 24h 40Mitch Landrieu

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 41LeBron James

0%0¢ · $2 24h 42Oprah Winfrey

0%0¢ · $4K 24h 43Andrew Yang

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 44Tim Walz

0%0¢ · $5K 24h 45George Clooney

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 46Kim Kardashian

0%0¢ · — 24h 47Beto O’Rourke

0%0¢ · — 24h 48MrBeast

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 49Liz Cheney

0%0¢ · $11K 24h 50John Fetterman

0%0¢ · $12K 24h 51Graham Platner

0%0¢ · $62 24h 52Alex Padilla

0%0¢ · — 24h 53Adam Schiff

0%0¢ · $2K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?: The market currently favors Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 18% implied probability (YES trading at 18¢).
How much has been traded on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?: $1.3B has been traded across 53 outcome markets, $617K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 8, 2028.

Get alerts on every outcome

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