Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in December??

The market currently favors Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp at 76% implied probability (YES trading at 76¢).

How much has been traded on Fed Decision in December??

$3.2M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $163K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 9, 2026.

Event odds table

Fed Decision in December? — live odds

5 outcomes$3.2M traded$163K · 24hresolves by December 9, 2026

Live Fed Decision in December? odds: Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp leads the field at 76% implied probability, ahead of re be no change in Fed interest rate (22%) and Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bp (3%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $3.2M traded ($163K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 9, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp 76%

implied probability (76¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp

76%76¢ · $36K 24h 2re be no change in Fed interest rate

22%22¢ · $62K 24h 3Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bp

3%2¢ · $22K 24h 4Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bp

1%1¢ · $20K 24h 5Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bp

0%0¢ · $23K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in December??: The market currently favors Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp at 76% implied probability (YES trading at 76¢).
How much has been traded on Fed Decision in December??: $3.2M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $163K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 9, 2026.

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