Event odds table
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — live odds
13 outcomes$54.0M traded$31K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027
Live How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? odds: no Fed rate cuts leads the field at 96% implied probability, ahead of 1 Fed rate cut (2%) and 2 Fed rate cuts (1%). All 13 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $54.0M traded ($31K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
no Fed rate cuts 96%
implied probability (96¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 13
1no Fed rate cuts
96%96¢ · $5K 24h21 Fed rate cut
2%2¢ · $4K 24h32 Fed rate cuts
1%1¢ · $6K 24h44 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $568 24h55 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $6 24h63 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $16K 24h711 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · — 24h810 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · — 24h99 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $6 24h106 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · — 24h1112 or more Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · $83 24h127 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · — 24h138 Fed rate cuts
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- The market currently favors no Fed rate cuts at 96% implied probability (YES trading at 96¢).
- How much has been traded on How many Fed rate cuts in 2026??
- $54.0M has been traded across 13 outcome markets, $31K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
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