Which outcome is favored for Next French Presidential Election?

The market currently favors Marine Le Pen at 43% implied probability (YES trading at 43¢).

How much has been traded on Next French Presidential Election?

$150.4M has been traded across 42 outcome markets, $439K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by April 19, 2027.

Event odds table

Next French Presidential Election — live odds

42 outcomes$150.4M traded$439K · 24hresolves by April 19, 2027

Live Next French Presidential Election odds: Marine Le Pen leads the field at 43% implied probability, ahead of Édouard Philippe (20%) and David Lisnard (12%). All 42 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $150.4M traded ($439K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by April 19, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Marine Le Pen 43%

implied probability (43¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 42

Full market details →

1Marine Le Pen

43%43¢ · $66K 24h 2Édouard Philippe

20%20¢ · $15K 24h 3David Lisnard

12%12¢ · $70K 24h 4Jean-Luc Mélenchon

12%12¢ · $34K 24h 5François Hollande

4%3¢ · $5K 24h 6Raphaël Glucksmann

2%2¢ · $23K 24h 7Gabriel Attal

2%2¢ · $24K 24h 8Bruno Retailleau

1%1¢ · $8K 24h 9Christine Lagarde

1%1¢ · $46K 24h 10Sarah Knafo

1%1¢ · $18K 24h 11Dominique de Villepin

1%1¢ · $14K 24h 12Jordan Bardella

1%1¢ · $16K 24h 13Éric Zemmour

1%1¢ · $14K 24h 14Sébastien Lecornu

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 15François Ruffin

0%0¢ · $15K 24h 16Marine Tondelier

0%0¢ · $15K 24h 17Jean Castex

0%0¢ · $28K 24h 18Karim Bouamrane

0%0¢ · $14K 24h 19François Asselineau

0%0¢ · — 24h 20Ségolène Royal

0%0¢ · — 24h 21Olivier Faure

0%0¢ · $111 24h 22Mathilde Panot

0%0¢ · — 24h 23Xavier Bertrand

0%0¢ · $156 24h 24François Bayrou

0%0¢ · — 24h 25Yaël Braun-Pivet

0%0¢ · — 24h 26Élisabeth Borne

0%0¢ · — 24h 27Michel Barnier

0%0¢ · — 24h 28Manuel Bompard

0%0¢ · — 24h 29Clémentine Autain

0%0¢ · — 24h 30Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

0%0¢ · — 24h 31Carole Delga

0%0¢ · — 24h 32Fabien Roussel

0%0¢ · $7 24h 33Clémence Guetté

0%0¢ · $5 24h 34Valérie Pécresse

0%0¢ · — 24h 35Laurent Wauquiez

0%0¢ · — 24h 36Bernard Cazeneuve

0%0¢ · — 24h 37Juan Branco

0%0¢ · $9 24h 38Gérald Darmanin

0%0¢ · — 24h 39François Baroin

0%0¢ · $2 24h 40Yannick Jadot

0%0¢ · — 24h 41Marion Maréchal

0%0¢ · — 24h 42Lucie Castets

0%0¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Next French Presidential Election?: The market currently favors Marine Le Pen at 43% implied probability (YES trading at 43¢).
How much has been traded on Next French Presidential Election?: $150.4M has been traded across 42 outcome markets, $439K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by April 19, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

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