Which outcome is favored for Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...??

The market currently favors December 31, 2026? at 41% implied probability (YES trading at 41¢).

How much has been traded on Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...??

$405K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $14K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.

Event odds table

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$405K traded$14K · 24hresolves by October 31, 2026

Live Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? odds: December 31, 2026? leads the field at 41% implied probability, ahead of October 31, 2026? (copy) (11%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $405K traded ($14K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31, 2026? 41%

implied probability (41¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

1December 31, 2026?

41%41¢ · $4K 24h 2October 31, 2026? (copy)

11%11¢ · $7K 24h 3November 30, 2026?

—— · $2K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...??: The market currently favors December 31, 2026? at 41% implied probability (YES trading at 41¢).
How much has been traded on Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...??: $405K has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $14K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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