Event odds table
Presidential Election Winner 2028 — live odds
54 outcomes$715.9M traded$195K · 24hresolves by November 7, 2028
Live Presidential Election Winner 2028 odds: JD Vance leads the field at 22% implied probability, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (13%) and Jon Ossoff (10%). All 54 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $715.9M traded ($195K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 7, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
JD Vance 22%
implied probability (22¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 54
1JD Vance
22%22¢ · $2K 24h2Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%13¢ · $3K 24h3Jon Ossoff
10%10¢ · $18K 24h4Gavin Newsom
9%9¢ · $5K 24h5Marco Rubio
8%8¢ · $2K 24h6Kamala Harris
5%4¢ · $9K 24h7Josh Shapiro
3%3¢ · $15 24h8Pete Buttigieg
3%3¢ · $3K 24h9Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%2¢ · $2K 24h10Andy Beshear
2%2¢ · $5 24h11Tucker Carlson
2%2¢ · $16K 24h12Ron DeSantis
2%2¢ · $11 24h13James Talarico
1%1¢ · $16K 24h14Mark Kelly
1%1¢ · $6 24h15Donald Trump
1%1¢ · $215 24h16Raphael Warnock
1%1¢ · $13K 24h17Wes Moore
1%1¢ · $338 24h18Thomas Massie
1%1¢ · $23K 24h19Ro Khanna
1%1¢ · $14 24h20Rahm Emanuel
1%1¢ · — 24h21Donald Trump Jr.
1%1¢ · $173 24h22JB Pritzker
1%1¢ · $3K 24h23Ivanka Trump
1%1¢ · $22K 24h24Ted Cruz
1%1¢ · $242 24h25Jamie Dimon
0%0¢ · $397 24h26Gretchen Whitmer
0%0¢ · $1K 24h27Elon Musk
0%0¢ · $7K 24h28Tulsi Gabbard
0%0¢ · $25K 24h29Greg Abbott
0%0¢ · $3K 24h30Glenn Youngkin
0%0¢ · $3K 24h31Michelle Obama
0%0¢ · $5K 24h32Tom Cotton
0%0¢ · $2K 24h33LeBron James
0%0¢ · $178 24h34Tim Walz
0%0¢ · $8 24h35Kim Kardashian
0%0¢ · $740 24h36Vivek Ramaswamy
0%0¢ · — 24h37Stephen Smith
0%0¢ · $3K 24h38Nikki Haley
0%0¢ · $3K 24h39Zohran Mamdani
0%0¢ · $1 24h40Eric Trump
0%0¢ · $1K 24h41Pete Hegseth
0%0¢ · — 24h42Jalen Brunson
0%0¢ · — 24h43Josh Stein
0%0¢ · — 24h44Adam Schiff
0%0¢ · — 24h45Abigail Spanberger
0%0¢ · — 24h46Alex Padilla
0%0¢ · — 24h47Elissa Slotkin
0%0¢ · — 24h48Candace Owens
0%0¢ · — 24h49Rick Scott
0%0¢ · — 24h50Doug Burgum
0%0¢ · — 24h51John N. Kennedy
0%0¢ · — 24h52Tim Scott
0%0¢ · — 24h53Mike Johnson
0%0¢ · — 24h54Hakeem Jeffries
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Presidential Election Winner 2028?
- The market currently favors JD Vance at 22% implied probability (YES trading at 22¢).
- How much has been traded on Presidential Election Winner 2028?
- $715.9M has been traded across 54 outcome markets, $195K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
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