Event odds table

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — live odds

42 outcomes$710.1M traded$380K · 24hresolves by November 8, 2028

Live Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 odds: J.D. Vance leads the field at 49% implied probability, ahead of Marco Rubio (15%) and Tucker Carlson (3%). All 42 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $710.1M traded ($380K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 8, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

J.D. Vance 49%

implied probability (49¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 42

Full market details →
1J.D. Vance49%49¢ · $18K 24h2Marco Rubio15%15¢ · $7K 24h3Tucker Carlson3%3¢ · $2K 24h4Ron DeSantis3%3¢ · $1K 24h5Ted Cruz3%2¢ · $7K 24h6Donald Trump2%2¢ · $1K 24h7Donald Trump Jr.2%2¢ · $8K 24h8Ivanka Trump1%1¢ · $737 24h9Thomas Massie1%1¢ · $186 24h10Tulsi Gabbard0%0¢ · $572 24h11Tom Cotton0%0¢ · $19 24h12Josh Hawley0%0¢ · $25 24h13Brian Kemp0%0¢ · $3 24h14Pete Hegseth0%0¢ · $188 24h15Glenn Youngkin0%0¢ · $363 24h16Marjorie Taylor Greene0%0¢ · $498 24h17Katie Britt0%0¢ · $4 24h18Rand Paul0%0¢ · $714 24h19Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0%0¢ · $66 24h20Vivek Ramaswamy0%0¢ · — 24h21Candace Owens0%0¢ · $80 24h22Byron Donalds0%0¢ · $295 24h23Mike Pence0%0¢ · $685 24h24Kristi Noem0%0¢ · $947 24h25Elon Musk0%0¢ · $70 24h26Elise Stefanik0%0¢ · $22 24h27Steve Bannon0%0¢ · $24 24h28Greg Abbott0%0¢ · $10 24h29Eric Trump0%0¢ · $8K 24h30Nikki Haley0%0¢ · $5K 24h31Joe Kent0%0¢ · $169 24h32John N. Kennedy0%0¢ · $3K 24h33John Thune0%0¢ · $20K 24h34Sarah Huckabee Sanders0%0¢ · $169K 24h35Tom Brady0%0¢ · $236 24h36Kim Kardashian0%0¢ · $78 24h37Matt Gaetz0%0¢ · $125K 24h38Erika Kirk0%0¢ · $2 24h39Mike Johnson0%0¢ · — 24h40Rick Scott0%0¢ · — 24h41Doug Burgum0%0¢ · — 24h42Tim Scott0%0¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
The market currently favors J.D. Vance at 49% implied probability (YES trading at 49¢).
How much has been traded on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
$710.1M has been traded across 42 outcome markets, $380K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 8, 2028.

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