Event odds table
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — live odds
11 outcomes$3.1M traded$768 · 24h
Live Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? odds: 47 or fewer leads the field at 39% implied probability, ahead of exactly 48 (18%) and exactly 49 (14%). All 11 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $3.1M traded ($768 in the last 24 hours). Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
47 or fewer 39%
implied probability (39¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 11
147 or fewer
39%39¢ · $481 24h2exactly 48
18%18¢ · $10 24h3exactly 49
14%14¢ · — 24h4exactly 50
12%12¢ · — 24h5exactly 51
8%8¢ · — 24h6exactly 52
5%5¢ · — 24h7exactly 53
3%3¢ · — 24h8exactly 54
2%2¢ · — 24h9exactly 55
2%1¢ · — 24h10exactly 56
1%1¢ · — 24h1157 or more
1%1¢ · $277 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections??
- The market currently favors 47 or fewer at 39% implied probability (YES trading at 39¢).
- How much has been traded on Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections??
- $3.1M has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $768 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- Resolution dates vary by outcome market.
Get alerts on every outcome
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