Which outcome is favored for Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...??

The market currently favors December 31 at 85% implied probability (YES trading at 85¢).

How much has been traded on Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...??

$1.5M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $14K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.

Event odds table

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$1.5M traded$14K · 24hresolves by October 31, 2026

Live Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 85% implied probability, ahead of November 30 (80%) and October 31 (3%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.5M traded ($14K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 85%

implied probability (85¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

1December 31

85%85¢ · $7K 24h 2November 30

80%80¢ · $4K 24h 3October 31

3%3¢ · $4K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...??: The market currently favors December 31 at 85% implied probability (YES trading at 85¢).
How much has been traded on Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...??: $1.5M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $14K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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