Which outcome is favored for Texas Senate Election Winner?

The market currently favors Democrat at 63% implied probability (YES trading at 63¢).

How much has been traded on Texas Senate Election Winner?

$3.4M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $137K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.

Event odds table

Texas Senate Election Winner — live odds

2 outcomes$3.4M traded$137K · 24hresolves by November 4, 2026

Live Texas Senate Election Winner odds: Democrat leads the field at 63% implied probability, ahead of Republican (36%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $3.4M traded ($137K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Democrat 63%

implied probability (63¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1Democrat

63%63¢ · $51K 24h 2Republican

36%36¢ · $86K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Texas Senate Election Winner?: The market currently favors Democrat at 63% implied probability (YES trading at 63¢).
How much has been traded on Texas Senate Election Winner?: $3.4M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $137K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 2 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.