Event odds table
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? — live odds
5 outcomes$11.0M traded$200K · 24hresolves by October 16, 2026
Live US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? odds: March 31, 2027 leads the field at 67% implied probability, ahead of December 31, 2026 (44%) and November 30, 2026 (27%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $11.0M traded ($200K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 16, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
March 31, 2027 67%
implied probability (67¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1March 31, 2027
67%67¢ · $642 24h2December 31, 2026
44%43¢ · $24K 24h3November 30, 2026
27%27¢ · $14K 24h4October 31, 2026
14%14¢ · $86K 24h5October 15, 2026
3%3¢ · $74K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for US announces end of Iranian blockade by...??
- The market currently favors March 31, 2027 at 67% implied probability (YES trading at 67¢).
- How much has been traded on US announces end of Iranian blockade by...??
- $11.0M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $200K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 16, 2026.
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