Which outcome is favored for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election??

The market currently favors Democrat at 64% implied probability (YES trading at 64¢).

How much has been traded on Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election??

$2.5M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $0 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 8, 2028.

Event odds table

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? — live odds

2 outcomes$2.5M tradedresolves by November 8, 2028

Live Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? odds: Democrat leads the field at 64% implied probability, ahead of Republican (35%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.5M traded and the field resolving by November 8, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Democrat 64%

implied probability (64¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1Democrat

64%64¢ · — 24h 2Republican

35%35¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election??: The market currently favors Democrat at 64% implied probability (YES trading at 64¢).
How much has been traded on Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election??: $2.5M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $0 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 8, 2028.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 2 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.