Which outcome is favored for Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...??

The market currently favors efore 2027 at 6% implied probability (YES trading at 6¢).

How much has been traded on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...??

$42.1M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $544K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$42.1M traded$544K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026

Live Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? odds: efore 2027 leads the field at 6% implied probability, ahead of y October 31 (1%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $42.1M traded ($544K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

efore 2027 6%

implied probability (6¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1efore 2027

6%6¢ · $397K 24h 2y October 31

1%1¢ · $147K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...??: The market currently favors efore 2027 at 6% implied probability (YES trading at 6¢).
How much has been traded on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...??: $42.1M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $544K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

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