Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? — final odds

This market has ended · August 7, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?" resolved on August 7, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $259K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$258K

24h volume

$259K

total volume

Aug 7, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0112¢ normal
66d ago
High volatility
±27.9¢ swing band
66d ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 10¢ (-88¢ in 15 min)
66d ago
Volume spike
$3,333 traded — 42.4× the average
66d ago
Volume spike
$5,566 traded — 70.9× the average
66d ago
Volume spike
$721 traded — 9.2× the average
66d ago
Odds swing
79¢ → 94¢ (+14.9¢ in 15 min)
66d ago
High volatility
±9.9¢ swing band
66d ago
Odds swing
86¢ → 95¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)
66d ago
High volatility
±5¢ swing band
66d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?" resolve?

This market ended on August 7, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.