
Spread: Japan (-1.5) — final odds
"Spread: Japan (-1.5)" resolved on September 28, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $60K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$60K
24h volume
$60K
total volume
Sep 28, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 16d ago
High volatility
±28¢ swing band
- 16d ago
Odds swing
43¢ → 14¢ (-29¢ in 15 min)
- 16d ago
Volume spike
$200 traded — 23× the average
- 16d ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.05¢ vs 0.0113¢ normal
- 16d ago
Volume spike
$47 traded — 5.4× the average
- 16d ago
Volume spike
$55 traded — 6.3× the average
- 16d ago
Volume spike
$282 traded — 28.3× the average
- 16d ago
Volume spike
$76 traded — 7.6× the average
- 16d ago
Volume spike
$33 traded — 3.3× the average
- 16d ago
High volatility
±14.3¢ swing band
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 28 at 6:25 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Venezuela". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Quick answers
How did "Spread: Japan (-1.5)" resolve?
This market ended on September 28, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$60K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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