Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? — live odds

Part of Anthropic IPO by __?· see all 6 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 69% implied probability, with YES at 69¢ and NO at 32¢. $1.1M has changed hands so far, $16K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this finance market in real time.

69%

implied probability

YES 69¢NO 32¢

recent price

+4¢ over the window

+4¢

24h change

$16K

24h volume

$1.1M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
3m ago
Volume spike
$628 traded — 73.8× the average
10m ago
Volume spike
$68 traded — 8× the average
16m ago
High volatility
±39.5¢ swing band
18m ago
High volatility
±13.3¢ swing band
33m ago
High volatility
±29.4¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$288 traded — 45.9× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±13.5¢ swing band
2h ago
Volume spike
$1,984 traded — 317.7× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±9.9¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.