Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 9? — final odds
"Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 9?" resolved NO on October 10, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $1K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
1%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$1K
24h volume
$1K
total volume
Oct 10, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 4d ago
High volatility
±24.8¢ swing band
- 4d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 87¢ (+86.1¢ in 15 min)
- 4d ago
High volatility
±36.7¢ swing band
- 4d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 87¢ (+86.1¢ in 15 min)
- 4d ago
High volatility
±36.7¢ swing band
- 4d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 85¢ (+84¢ in 15 min)
- 4d ago
conviction signal
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
How did "Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 9?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on October 10, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$1K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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