Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit October 26-November 1?· see all 14 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?" is trading at a 11% implied probability, with YES at 11¢ and NO at 89¢. $103K has changed hands so far, $58K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 2, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

11%

implied probability

YES 11¢NO 89¢

recent price

+2¢ over the window

+2¢

24h change

$58K

24h volume

$103K

total volume

Nov 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$9,014 traded — 362.8× the average
4m ago
High volatility
±47.9¢ swing band
10m ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
26m ago
Volume spike
$171 traded — 6.8× the average
37m ago
High volatility
±7.6¢ swing band
41m ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 5¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
41m ago
Volume spike
$160 traded — 6.3× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±12.3¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±22.2¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
86¢ → 30¢ (-56¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.