Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? — final odds

This market has ended · November 1, 2026Final price 21¢ YES — the market gave this a 21% implied probability.

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in October?· see all 19 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?" resolved on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 21¢ YES — a 21% implied probability — after $21K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

21%

implied probability

YES 21¢NO 79¢

recent price

—

24h change

$20K

24h volume

$21K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0154¢ normal
11h ago
High volatility
±20.6¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
44¢ → 91¢ (+47¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±4.4¢ swing band
12h ago
High volatility
±18.6¢ swing band
12h ago
High volatility
±11.6¢ swing band
12h ago
High volatility
±18.8¢ swing band
12h ago
Odds swing
6¢ → 52¢ (+46¢ in 15 min)
12h ago
High volatility
±26.4¢ swing band
13h ago
High volatility
±20.2¢ swing band
13h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?" resolve?

This market ended on November 1, 2026 with a final traded price of 21¢ YES (21% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 21¢ — an implied probability of 21%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.