Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? — live odds

Part of When will Bitcoin hit $150k?· see all 5 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?" is trading at a 24% implied probability, with YES at 24¢ and NO at 77¢. $12K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

24%

implied probability

YES 24¢NO 77¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$12K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±30.4¢ swing band
21m ago
High volatility
±55.2¢ swing band
37m ago
Odds swing
25¢ → 98¢ (+73¢ in 15 min)
37m ago
High volatility
±31.9¢ swing band
53m ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 25¢ (-72¢ in 15 min)
53m ago
High volatility
±42.3¢ swing band
6h ago
High volatility
±31.3¢ swing band
7h ago
High volatility
±31.2¢ swing band
7h ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 24¢ (-73¢ in 15 min)
7h ago
High volatility
±41.5¢ swing band
8h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.