Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? — final odds

This market has ended · September 1, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?" resolved on September 1, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $873K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$454K

24h volume

$873K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±22.4¢ swing band
55d ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 60¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
55d ago
Volume spike
$1,606 traded — 8.1× the average
55d ago
High volatility
±48.7¢ swing band
55d ago
Volume spike
$1,646 traded — 8.3× the average
55d ago
High volatility
±4.7¢ swing band
55d ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
55d ago
Odds swing
82¢ → 40¢ (-42¢ in 15 min)
55d ago
High volatility
±8.4¢ swing band
55d ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 73¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)
55d ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?" resolve?

This market ended on September 1, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.