Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 27? — final odds

This market has ended · August 28, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 27?" resolved on August 28, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $60K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$60K

24h volume

$60K

total volume

Aug 28, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0627¢ normal
47d ago
High volatility
±17.9¢ swing band
47d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 2¢ (-97¢ in 15 min)
47d ago
High volatility
±19.6¢ swing band
47d ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.17¢ vs 0.0549¢ normal
47d ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.16¢ vs 0.0502¢ normal
47d ago
High volatility
±35.7¢ swing band
47d ago
High volatility
±9.1¢ swing band
47d ago
High volatility
±22¢ swing band
47d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 9¢ (+8¢ in 15 min)
47d ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 27?" resolve?

This market ended on August 28, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.