Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? — final odds

This market has ended · January 1, 2027Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?· see all 30 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?" resolved on January 1, 2027 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $921K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$17K

24h volume

$921K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
95¢ → 40¢ (-54.4¢ in 15 min)
22d ago
High volatility
±45.2¢ swing band
22d ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 19¢ (-74.4¢ in 15 min)
22d ago
Odds swing
74¢ → 19¢ (-55.4¢ in 15 min)
22d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 100¢ (+99.6¢ in 15 min)
22d ago
High volatility
±36.6¢ swing band
22d ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 0¢ (-94.1¢ in 15 min)
22d ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 19¢ (-75.7¢ in 15 min)
22d ago
High volatility
±32.1¢ swing band
22d ago
Odds swing
24¢ → 75¢ (+51.5¢ in 15 min)
22d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?" resolve?

This market ended on January 1, 2027 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.