Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 21-27? — final odds

This market has ended · September 28, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 21-27?" resolved on September 28, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $106K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$48K

24h volume

$106K

total volume

Sep 28, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.001¢ normal
16d ago
High volatility
±6.7¢ swing band
16d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 1¢ (-98.2¢ in 15 min)
16d ago
High volatility
±51.7¢ swing band
16d ago
High volatility
±9.1¢ swing band
16d ago
High volatility
±41.6¢ swing band
16d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 98¢ (+96.6¢ in 15 min)
16d ago
Volume spike
$8,078 traded — 310.5× the average
16d ago
Odds swing
33¢ → 0¢ (-32.9¢ in 15 min)
16d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 87¢ (+85.9¢ in 15 min)
16d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the date range specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 21-27?" resolve?

This market ended on September 28, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.