
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? — final odds
"Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?" resolved on October 1, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $1.5M in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$185K
24h volume
$1.5M
total volume
Oct 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 12d ago
Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0019¢ normal
- 12d ago
High volatility
±39.6¢ swing band
- 12d ago
High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
- 12d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 95¢ (+95¢ in 15 min)
- 12d ago
High volatility
±26.7¢ swing band
- 12d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 1¢ (-99.3¢ in 15 min)
- 12d ago
High volatility
±41.5¢ swing band
- 12d ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 100¢ (+97.6¢ in 15 min)
- 12d ago
High volatility
±26¢ swing band
- 12d ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 93¢ (+90.6¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
How did "Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?" resolve?
This market ended on October 1, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$1.5M was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
From the blog
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Sep 24: Bitcoin Dips, Treasury
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Sep 20: Clarity Act Whale, Lula
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Sep 13: Fed Hike Odds Jump
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