Will Dan Wilson win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? — live odds

Part of MLB: AL Manager of the Year· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Dan Wilson win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?" is trading at a 20% implied probability, with YES at 20¢ and NO at 80¢. $7K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

20%

implied probability

YES 20¢NO 80¢

recent price

-26¢ over the window

-26¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$7K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.938 · edge: 0.052
85d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.901 · edge: 0.089
85d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.897 · edge: 0.093
85d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.885 · edge: 0.105
85d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.903 · edge: 0.087
85d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.919 · edge: 0.071
86d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.93 · edge: 0.06
86d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.938 · edge: 0.052
86d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.964 · edge: 0.026
87d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.914 · edge: 0.076
87d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.