
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? — live odds
"Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 14% implied probability, with YES at 14¢ and NO at 87¢. $706K has changed hands so far, $1K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
14%
implied probability
recent price
-15¢ over the window
-15¢
24h change
$1K
24h volume
$706K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 12m ago
High volatility
±25¢ swing band
- 12m ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 90¢ (+77¢ in 15 min)
- 27m ago
High volatility
±35¢ swing band
- 27m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 17¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)
- 44m ago
High volatility
±7.1¢ swing band
- 59m ago
High volatility
±53.2¢ swing band
- 59m ago
Odds swing
57¢ → 2¢ (-55¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±47.8¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 65¢ (+53¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±62.7¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 14¢ and NO at 87¢, an implied probability of 14% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
How much has been traded on this market?
$706K has been traded in total, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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From the blog
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Oct 4: Harris Odds Drop
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Aug 26: Whale Activity in Hormuz
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Aug 21: Ethereum Dip & Gold Surge
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