Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? — live odds

"Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?" is trading at a 21% implied probability, with YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢. $68K has changed hands so far, $812 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

21%

implied probability

YES 21¢NO 79¢

recent price

+19¢ over the window

+19¢

24h change

$812

24h volume

$68K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±24.3¢ swing band

    20m ago
  • Odds swing

    19¢ → 27¢ (+8¢ in 15 min)

    45m ago
  • High volatility

    ±32.4¢ swing band

    51m ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 19¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.1¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    13¢ → 25¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.8¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±5.6¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    50¢ → 27¢ (-23¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?"?

The market currently prices YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢, an implied probability of 21% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$68K has been traded in total, $812 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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