
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? — live odds
"Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?" is trading at a 21% implied probability, with YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢. $68K has changed hands so far, $812 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
21%
implied probability
recent price
+19¢ over the window
+19¢
24h change
$812
24h volume
$68K
total volume
Nov 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 20m ago
High volatility
±24.3¢ swing band
- 45m ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 27¢ (+8¢ in 15 min)
- 51m ago
High volatility
±32.4¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
27¢ → 19¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±11.1¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±4¢ swing band
- 3h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 25¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)
- 3h ago
High volatility
±6.8¢ swing band
- 3h ago
High volatility
±5.6¢ swing band
- 4h ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 27¢ (-23¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?"?
The market currently prices YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢, an implied probability of 21% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
How much has been traded on this market?
$68K has been traded in total, $812 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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