Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? — live odds

Part of What price will Ethereum hit in October?· see all 20 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?" is trading at a 19% implied probability, with YES at 19¢ and NO at 81¢. $61K has changed hands so far, $22K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

19%

implied probability

YES 19¢NO 81¢

recent price

-18¢ over the window

-18¢

24h change

$22K

24h volume

$61K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
8¢ → 66¢ (+58¢ in 15 min)
4m ago
Volume spike
$148 traded — 14.5× the average
23m ago
High volatility
±44.6¢ swing band
34m ago
Odds swing
27¢ → 65¢ (+38¢ in 15 min)
34m ago
Volume spike
$250 traded — 24.6× the average
45m ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 67¢ (+57¢ in 15 min)
49m ago
Volume spike
$74 traded — 6.9× the average
55m ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 67¢ (+50¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±42.6¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
86¢ → 23¢ (-63¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.