Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? — final odds

Resolved NO · October 23, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?" resolved NO on October 23, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $410K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$60K

24h volume

$410K

total volume

Oct 23, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).

Quick answers

How did "Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on October 23, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.