Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? — final odds

This market has ended · October 23, 2026Final price 16¢ YES — the market gave this a 16% implied probability.

"Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?" resolved on October 23, 2026 at a final price of 16¢ YES — a 16% implied probability — after $296K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

16%

implied probability

YES 16¢NO 85¢

recent price

—

24h change

$42K

24h volume

$296K

total volume

Oct 23, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±30.4¢ swing band
6d ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 99¢ (+83.5¢ in 15 min)
6d ago
High volatility
±25.2¢ swing band
6d ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 5¢ (-91.5¢ in 15 min)
6d ago
High volatility
±29.3¢ swing band
6d ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 30¢ (-20¢ in 15 min)
6d ago
High volatility
±32.5¢ swing band
6d ago
Volume spike
$949 traded — 48.5× the average
6d ago
High volatility
±48.7¢ swing band
6d ago
Odds swing
14¢ → 95¢ (+81.2¢ in 15 min)
6d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).

Quick answers

How did "Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?" resolve?

This market ended on October 23, 2026 with a final traded price of 16¢ YES (16% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 16¢ — an implied probability of 16%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.