Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7? — final odds

Resolved NO · October 8, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?" resolved NO on October 8, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $87K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

1%

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

—

24h change

$28K

24h volume

$87K

total volume

Oct 8, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to begin a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026. Their goal, as of market creation, is to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world without any of the three dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos defeat the Ender Dragon live on stream, as accepted by them as a successful completion of their challenge, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only events occurring while at least one of the three players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Jynxzi's, StableRonaldo's, and Los Pollos's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.

Quick answers

How did "Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on October 8, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$87K was traded over the market's lifetime.

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Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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