Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? — live odds
"Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?" is trading at a 18% implied probability, with YES at 18¢ and NO at 82¢. $182K has changed hands so far, $9 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.
18%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$9
24h volume
$182K
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 58d ago
High volatility
±57.1¢ swing band
- 58d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 0¢ (-99.2¢ in 15 min)
- 58d ago
High volatility
±63.8¢ swing band
- 58d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 0¢ (-99.2¢ in 15 min)
- 58d ago
High volatility
±41.9¢ swing band
- 58d ago
High volatility
±52.7¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?"?
The market currently prices YES at 18¢ and NO at 82¢, an implied probability of 18% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$182K has been traded in total, $9 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Culture markets
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0%
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
0%