Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — final odds

This market has ended · July 31, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" resolved on July 31, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $3.6M in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$574K

24h volume

$3.6M

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0014¢ normal
74d ago
Volume spike
$562 traded — 3.3× the average
74d ago
High volatility
±23.6¢ swing band
74d ago
High volatility
±10.6¢ swing band
74d ago
Odds swing
65¢ → 21¢ (-44¢ in 15 min)
74d ago
High volatility
±27.5¢ swing band
74d ago
Odds swing
40¢ → 100¢ (+60¢ in 15 min)
74d ago
High volatility
±19.7¢ swing band
74d ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 50¢ (-20.2¢ in 15 min)
74d ago
High volatility
±21.4¢ swing band
74d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

How did "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" resolve?

This market ended on July 31, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.