Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? — live odds

Part of MLB World Series Champion 2026· see all 4 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?" is trading at a 13% implied probability, with YES at 13¢ and NO at 87¢. $1.5M has changed hands so far, $46K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

13%

implied probability

YES 13¢NO 87¢

recent price

-4¢ over the window

-4¢

24h change

$46K

24h volume

$1.5M

total volume

Oct 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±21.8¢ swing band
11d ago
High volatility
±26.6¢ swing band
12d ago
High volatility
±24.9¢ swing band
12d ago
Odds swing
8¢ → 100¢ (+92¢ in 15 min)
12d ago
High volatility
±22.4¢ swing band
12d ago
High volatility
±27.1¢ swing band
68d ago
High volatility
±11.1¢ swing band
68d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 40¢ (+38.7¢ in 15 min)
68d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.