
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 12? — final odds
"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 12?" resolved on August 12, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $17K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$15K
24h volume
$17K
total volume
Aug 12, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 63d ago
High volatility
±47.9¢ swing band
- 63d ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 95¢ (+91.8¢ in 15 min)
- 63d ago
High volatility
±52.7¢ swing band
- 63d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 10¢ (+8.7¢ in 15 min)
- 63d ago
conviction signal
- 63d ago
High volatility
±6.2¢ swing band
- 63d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 20¢ (+19.4¢ in 15 min)
- 63d ago
High volatility
±8.3¢ swing band
- 63d ago
High volatility
±6.1¢ swing band
- 63d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 25¢ (+23.6¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Quick answers
How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 12?" resolve?
This market ended on August 12, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$17K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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From the blog
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Aug 13: Tesla Whale Sell, Bitcoin
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Aug 12: Fed Whale & WNBA Swing
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