Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? — live odds

Part of MLB: AL Manager of the Year· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?" is trading at a 53% implied probability, with YES at 53¢ and NO at 47¢. $13K has changed hands so far, $296 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

53%

implied probability

YES 53¢NO 47¢

recent price

+21¢ over the window

+21¢

24h change

$296

24h volume

$13K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.951 · edge: 0.039
85d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.901 · edge: 0.089
86d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.918 · edge: 0.072
86d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.923 · edge: 0.067
86d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.914 · edge: 0.076
87d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.914 · edge: 0.076
87d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.925 · edge: 0.065
88d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.916 · edge: 0.074
88d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.961 · edge: 0.029
89d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.91 · edge: 0.08
89d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.