Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in October??

The market currently favors re be no change in Fed interest rate at 85% implied probability (YES trading at 85¢).

How much has been traded on Fed Decision in October??

$30.6M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $2.1M of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 29, 2026.

Event odds table

Fed Decision in October? — live odds

5 outcomes$30.6M traded$2.1M · 24hresolves by October 29, 2026

Live Fed Decision in October? odds: re be no change in Fed interest rate leads the field at 85% implied probability, ahead of Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp (16%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $30.6M traded ($2.1M in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 29, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

re be no change in Fed interest rate 85%

implied probability (85¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1re be no change in Fed interest rate

85%85¢ · $453K 24h 2Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp

16%16¢ · $455K 24h 3Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bp

0%0¢ · $176K 24h 4Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bp

0%0¢ · $236K 24h 5Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bp

0%0¢ · $805K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in October??: The market currently favors re be no change in Fed interest rate at 85% implied probability (YES trading at 85¢).
How much has been traded on Fed Decision in October??: $30.6M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $2.1M of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 29, 2026.

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